← 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
decks
8
(7.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
39
15-23-1
overall winrate
39.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.8%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1269
· median 1230
· range 1131–1582
(8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1237
Q3 1425
1656
12% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
62% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 9.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 45.1% | -4.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.7% | -2.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 41.1% | -6.6 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.9% | +8.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 41.6% | -6.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 43.6% | -4.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +4.9 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.6 |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Wind Nico | 1.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
